The Update: Week 16

Contextualizing the Run: Offensive Run-Game Win Value – Week 15
December 23, 2017
Week 16 QB Spotlight: Patrick Mahomes Preview Edition
December 27, 2017

The Update: Week 16

The Update is a series of adjusted statistics used to measure the efficiency of NFL teams relative to the average team. Positive numbers will always mean a good thing for a given team, offensively or defensively, while negative numbers will always mean a bad thing for a given team, offensively or defensively.

Everything is set to the baseline of whatever the NFL average is at the time. That means that if the NFL throws five interceptions every 100 throws, but Team X only throws two interceptions on 200 passes, Team X is eight interceptions above expectation (+8.00.)

Below are the terms that you’re going to need to know.

ANY/A Value-How many ANY/A yards above/below average an offense/defense is relative to the NFL average, based on ANY/A.

Sack % Value-How many sacks above/below average an offense/defense is relative to the NFL average, based on sack percentage.

TFL % Value-How many tackles at the line of scrimmage and behind the line of scrimmage above/below average a run offense/defense is relative to the NFL average, based on tackle for loss percentage. We include 0-yard runs in with the tackle for loss data.

Points Per Play Value-How many points per play an offense/defense is above/below average relative to the NFL average, based on points per play.

Yards Per Rush Value-How many yards per rush an offense/defense is above/below average relative to the NFL average, based on yards per rush.

Turnover % Value-How many turnovers above/below average an offense/defense is relative to the NFL average, based on the NFL average.

Yards Per Play Value-How many yards per play an offense/defense is above/below average relative to the NFL average, based on yards per play.

1st Down % Value-How many 1st downs above/below average an offense/defense is relative to the NFL average, based on 1st down percentage.

How good is my pass defense? What is the difference between the 14th and 17th completion percentage? Which team has a low completion percentage but a high yards per completion mark? Which defense gets to the quarterback the most often? Which teams throw the most interceptions per play? Which run defenses are being hidden by playing in shootouts? Which offensive lines are allowing the most tackles for a loss on average this year? Which backs are doing the most with the least on the ground?

Offense

 

TeamANY/A ValueRSack % ValueRTFL% ValueRYards Per Rush ValueRPoints Per Play ValueRTurnover % ValueRYards Per Play ValueR1st Down % ValueR
Arizona Cardinals-525.9427-11.6430-2.3821-270.1432-72.9928-2.4221-482.0428-11.3622
Atlanta Falcons517.4899.516-1.919132.17716.27131.8614635.4431.753
Baltimore Ravens-591.54288.9471.9814-39.711929.895.345-616.7831-720
Buffalo Bills-437.3522-11.5229-18.912927.2716-46.81254.627-485.9929-33.9330
Carolina Panthers-222.9318-11813.247106.21919.64112.0313-185.631910.2711
Chicago Bears-459.2925-7.6725-19.313090.8811-50.0326-2.8222-268.4122-14.7924
Cincinnati Bengals-194.6717-6.68231.9415-201.3530-35.0223-3.4524-383.825-14.9525
Cleveland Browns-1496.3532-6.372213.95148.696-116.1232-18.4232-438.3926-15.3226
Dallas Cowboys-133.25160.611422.722205.94322.9210-0.491821.51510.5910
Denver Broncos-914.6631-9.762612.88-11.1418-83.5530-9.0131-500.6830-33.1529
Detroit Lions417.5512-7.524-19.4331-222.683155.447-1.8420143.2412-4.5218
Green Bay Packers-657.9229-10.082814.294150.495-14.0119-0.6219-322.72234.4314
Houston Texans-295.1720-16.61316.431032.5414-11.1218-5.7928-248200.8316
Indianapolis Colts-446.124-20.9832-0.7417-184.8928-80.29295.276-628.2432-37.0531
Jacksonville Jaguars308.851310.96511.499118.65855.6963.1712233.95108.4113
Kansas City Chiefs816.254-0.32175.0111244.67270.51511.031755.02218.317
Los Angeles Chargers707.35519.031-13.8325-113.3924-3.53175.734488.53620.546
Los Angeles Rams899.5337.579-4.22397.8610141.6411.416569.98510.1212
Miami Dolphins-677.24305.7611-25.8232-89.4922-55.2527-7.7930-348.3524-20.1327
Minnesota Vikings582.2688.478-3.9522-94.692318.04127.513149.851111.569
New England Patriots1025.2414.121213.28662.591290.3549.562733.25358.951
New Orleans Saints921.32215.53322.851265.82198.9233.5111946.5126.594
New York Giants-487.1267.16104.5312-144.6427-103.9831-0.0517-448.4427-39.5132
New York Jets-260.0519-9.9227-16.1127-9.2117-27.2222-3.8626-262.4621-27.2228
Oakland Raiders-28.221513.324-6.062427.6515-19.2420-6.432987.2514-1.2917
Philadelphia Eagles639.3563.03134.0913181.274105.6924.178240.95915.418
Pittsburgh Steelers612.44716.37220.083-132.312535.3283.6210439.36725.035
San Francisco 49ers-361.8421-3.5220-14.9926-55.3320-46.37241.6715-144.2318-7.5821
Seattle Seahawks195.5114-3.7821-18.2228-57.22113.12143.759-57.7717-4.7619
Tampa Bay Buccaneers504.8610-0.12160.6916-138.726-24.8821-3.2523313.23833.242
Tennessee Titans-445.57230.4415-1.92062.17134.6216-4.1627-33.31161.0515
Washington Redskins487.211-3.3819-1.6218-1902912.4415-3.842597.2413-14.5223

Defense

TeamANY/A ValueRSack % ValueRTFL% ValueRYards Per Rush ValueRPoints Per Play ValueRTurnover % ValueRYards Per Play ValueR1st Down % ValueR
Arizona Cardinals273.3411-2.41212.8112239.913-8.12190.2517368.77420.766
Atlanta Falcons-155.98201.4213-7.0124-29.671917.3214-7.3430101.1314-23.0430
Baltimore Ravens842.5523.84104.7824.931262.74411.881295.81521.955
Buffalo Bills381.078-9.52281.0614-82.32231.75152.259-34.5817-22.228
Carolina Panthers-88.881613.5539.976-9.5717-0.97161.8211-36.59186.7911
Chicago Bears35.85145.446-18.543040.061126.01101.6213179.72118.5710
Cincinnati Bengals200.12124.559-8.6628-31.52028.968-9.1431273.7664.2914
Cleveland Browns-583.5829-2.852231.041356.191-47.9528-10.0832225.2290.3418
Dallas Cowboys-100.1917-0.84183.6210-1718-5.8817-1.5820135.3912-11.6822
Denver Broncos-225.3421-0.11719.483322.542-48.929-4.3125437.19327.632
Detroit Lions10.3415-5.4124-10.329-38.0722-28.88246.794-27726-34.8332
Green Bay Packers-442.06251.7912-1.351764.398-17.71201.114-141.1522-20.127
Houston Texans-764.4331-1.44196.9753.839-99.6232-3.8424-470.6928-3.0519
Indianapolis Colts-696.6930-9.7629-4.272246.3110-55.2231-2.1921-510.331-12.1423
Jacksonville Jaguars1234.85117.441-2.3619-146.522967.94211.752579.94137.741
Kansas City Chiefs-155.4519-10.1630-2.0618-84.212422.85111.6812-320.5227-31.3131
Los Angeles Chargers714.0146.6453.3111-325.883263.7734.45582.11620.027
Los Angeles Rams547.29511.524-7.7825-202.83035.2664.16797.961516.988
Miami Dolphins-377.4723-7.722615.874-7.6516-51.4430-5.1627-154.2423-13.4824
Minnesota Vikings758.1230.5515-8.3427122.54669.621-0.6618568.93227.513
New England Patriots-231.86220.1216-21.6431-276.343142.335-2.9722-508.2630-17.1925
New Orleans Saints322.69105.2570.9915-128.672722.83121.9510-50.7320116
New York Giants-832.5732-11.07311.2813-36.9421-34.2826-5.6928-498.47290.8817
New York Jets-395.3624-8.812712.2513.1414-20.5721-1.1619-157.5924-4.4420
Oakland Raiders-562.2627-3.4723-7.912622.7313-23.4422-6.1629-201.24254.5213
Philadelphia Eagles546.36-1.912021.282111.32726.07910.123232.9822.564
Pittsburgh Steelers456.94716.792-4.121-124.592618.65130.915109.221314.579
San Francisco 49ers-510.9926-7.36253.959145.695-24.2123-3.8223-66.6921-22.2929
Seattle Seahawks338.9192.2911-6.04238.271531.1672.738261.8971.0815
Tampa Bay Buccaneers-567.128-14.4932-3.0620-92.2125-29.12254.256-678.2332-18.2426
Tennessee Titans-137.85180.914-1.2316194.954-6.0818-4.4526198.2610-9.4821
Washington Redskins165.69135.258-23.832-132.8628-34.91270.8616-41.89196.2512