The Update: Week 9
NFL Draft Video: Lamar Jackson passes of 10+ yards
November 8, 2017
Setting the Edge: Episode 58, Week 10 Picks
November 9, 2017
Everything is set to the baseline of whatever the NFL average is at the time. That means that if the NFL throws five interceptions every 100 throws, but Team X only throws two interceptions on 200 passes, Team X is eight interceptions above expectation (+8.00.)
Below are the terms that you’re going to need to know.
ANY/A Value-How many ANY/A yards above/below average an offense/defense is relative to the NFL average, based on ANY/A.
Sack % Value-How many sacks above/below average an offense/defense is relative to the NFL average, based on sack percentage.
TFL % Value-How many tackles at the line of scrimmage and behind the line of scrimmage above/below average a run offense/defense is relative to the NFL average, based on tackle for loss percentage. We include 0-yard runs in with the tackle for loss data.
Points Per Play Value-How many points per play an offense/defense is above/below average relative to the NFL average, based on points per play.
Yards Per Rush Value-How many yards per rush an offense/defense is above/below average relative to the NFL average, based on yards per rush.
Turnover % Value-How many turnovers above/below average an offense/defense is relative to the NFL average, based on the NFL average.
Yards Per Play Value-How many yards per play an offense/defense is above/below average relative to the NFL average, based on yards per play.
1st Down % Value-How many 1st downs above/below average an offense/defense is relative to the NFL average, based on 1st down percentage.
How good is my pass defense? What is the difference between the 14th and 17th completion percentage? Which team has a low completion percentage but a high yards per completion mark? Which defense gets to the quarterback the most often? Which teams throw the most interceptions per play? Which run defenses are being hidden by playing in shootouts? Which offensive lines are allowing the most tackles for a loss on average this year? Which backs are doing the most with the least on the ground?
Offense
| Team | ANY/A Value | R | Sack % Value | R | TFL% Value | R | Yards Per Rush Value | R | Points Per Play Value | R | Turnover % Value | R | Yards Per Play Value | R | 1st Down % Value | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | -109.46 | 20 | -2.03 | 18 | -1.89 | 19 | -158.92 | 30 | -43 | 29 | -1.5 | 23 | -80.59 | 19 | -3.46 | 18 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 258.06 | 9 | 4.62 | 10 | -0.24 | 15 | 113.66 | 4 | 2.9 | 15 | 0.56 | 15 | 423.15 | 3 | 15.68 | 2 |
| Baltimore Ravens | -724.38 | 31 | 2.51 | 13 | 2.59 | 10 | 30.37 | 12 | -13.84 | 19 | -1.12 | 21 | -535.26 | 32 | -14.71 | 28 |
| Buffalo Bills | 30.29 | 18 | -8.82 | 30 | -7.06 | 27 | -78.06 | 25 | -3.5 | 18 | 5.21 | 3 | -281.74 | 27 | -14.49 | 27 |
| Carolina Panthers | -364.28 | 27 | -2.21 | 19 | 1.02 | 12 | -108.05 | 28 | -35.15 | 27 | -3.17 | 28 | -285.67 | 28 | -1.1 | 16 |
| Chicago Bears | -343.49 | 26 | -3.33 | 23 | -5.86 | 25 | 56.31 | 10 | -33.79 | 24 | -4.4 | 29 | -262.44 | 26 | -14.93 | 29 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | -122.69 | 21 | -7.02 | 28 | -1.5 | 18 | -183.82 | 32 | -26.31 | 23 | -5.19 | 30 | -214.77 | 24 | -10.92 | 25 |
| Cleveland Browns | -959.41 | 32 | -1.36 | 17 | 13.93 | 4 | 3.23 | 17 | -60.23 | 31 | -9.68 | 32 | -328.22 | 29 | -4.01 | 19 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 290.2 | 7 | 7.77 | 5 | 16.75 | 1 | 188.15 | 2 | 46.77 | 4 | 3.32 | 5 | 225.78 | 6 | 11.99 | 8 |
| Denver Broncos | -526.28 | 29 | -7.21 | 29 | 4.62 | 9 | 23.72 | 13 | -34.78 | 26 | -7.33 | 31 | -204.96 | 22 | -8.9 | 23 |
| Detroit Lions | 170.6 | 11 | -5.66 | 24 | -11.17 | 30 | -163.34 | 31 | 23.3 | 9 | 1.54 | 12 | -104.18 | 20 | -8.07 | 22 |
| Green Bay Packers | -248.28 | 25 | -5.9 | 25 | 7.79 | 6 | 83.91 | 6 | 10.78 | 12 | 1.75 | 11 | -119.51 | 21 | 14.93 | 4 |
| Houston Texans | 101.01 | 15 | -8.98 | 31 | 11.34 | 5 | 77.31 | 7 | 44.57 | 5 | -1.35 | 22 | 42.34 | 16 | 12.4 | 7 |
| Indianapolis Colts | -218.34 | 23 | -12.88 | 32 | -0.86 | 17 | -100.75 | 27 | -34.56 | 25 | 1.42 | 13 | -262.04 | 25 | -19.3 | 32 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 91.44 | 16 | 5.26 | 8 | 15.26 | 3 | 205.48 | 1 | 23.65 | 8 | 2.52 | 8 | 153.11 | 11 | 5.24 | 13 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 654.71 | 2 | -3.21 | 21 | -3.55 | 21 | 158.51 | 3 | 66.49 | 3 | 7.78 | 1 | 496.56 | 1 | 15.57 | 3 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 155.93 | 12 | 8.48 | 4 | -12.32 | 31 | -14.35 | 19 | -15.02 | 21 | 2.42 | 9 | 140.93 | 12 | 8.52 | 11 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 543.35 | 3 | 6.85 | 7 | -4.27 | 23 | 37.89 | 11 | 87.24 | 1 | -0.9 | 19 | 371.74 | 4 | 9.04 | 10 |
| Miami Dolphins | -469.17 | 28 | 3.13 | 12 | -17.48 | 32 | -132.72 | 29 | -54.91 | 30 | -0.2 | 16 | -449.11 | 31 | -9.68 | 24 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 248.03 | 10 | 8.75 | 3 | -4.29 | 24 | -8.48 | 18 | -3.35 | 17 | 3.52 | 4 | 82.11 | 15 | 0.24 | 15 |
| New England Patriots | 663.59 | 1 | 10.62 | 1 | 16.66 | 2 | -23.54 | 21 | 24.98 | 7 | 7.07 | 2 | 370.7 | 5 | 28.59 | 1 |
| New Orleans Saints | 537.07 | 4 | 0.64 | 16 | 5.84 | 7 | 58.09 | 9 | 43.85 | 6 | 2.19 | 10 | 433.56 | 2 | 9.82 | 9 |
| New York Giants | -235.28 | 24 | 1.79 | 14 | 1.28 | 11 | -15.14 | 20 | -41.56 | 28 | 0.77 | 14 | -211.81 | 23 | -17.37 | 31 |
| New York Jets | -30.11 | 19 | -6.2 | 27 | -10.73 | 29 | 15.83 | 15 | 5.88 | 13 | -2.31 | 26 | -34.26 | 18 | -12.21 | 26 |
| Oakland Raiders | 87.62 | 17 | 7.44 | 6 | -3.67 | 22 | 5.92 | 16 | 15.73 | 10 | -1.61 | 24 | 166.89 | 10 | 7.07 | 12 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 497.73 | 5 | -3.28 | 22 | -0.74 | 16 | 84.22 | 5 | 75.34 | 2 | 3.12 | 6 | 220.48 | 7 | 13.92 | 5 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 115.04 | 14 | 8.75 | 2 | 5.47 | 8 | -89.38 | 26 | -14.31 | 20 | -0.55 | 18 | 140 | 13 | 1.15 | 14 |
| San Francisco 49ers | -676.12 | 30 | 3.98 | 11 | -6.38 | 26 | 22.61 | 14 | -63.96 | 32 | -0.93 | 20 | -376.93 | 30 | -15.46 | 30 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 287.67 | 8 | -5.9 | 26 | -8.42 | 28 | -40.23 | 22 | 2.84 | 16 | 2.76 | 7 | 184.85 | 8 | -1.13 | 17 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 153.65 | 13 | 5.18 | 9 | 0.68 | 13 | -66.3 | 24 | -16.03 | 22 | -2.01 | 25 | 177.23 | 9 | 12.57 | 6 |
| Tennessee Titans | -150.71 | 22 | 1.18 | 15 | -2.98 | 20 | 59.61 | 8 | 14.6 | 11 | -0.49 | 17 | -0.25 | 17 | -5.7 | 21 |
| Washington Redskins | 292 | 6 | -2.98 | 20 | 0.19 | 14 | -41.71 | 23 | 5.4 | 14 | -3.16 | 27 | 122.3 | 14 | -5.29 | 20 |
Defense
| Team | ANY/A Value | R | Sack % Value | R | TFL% Value | R | Yards Per Rush Value | R | Points Per Play Value | R | Turnover % Value | R | Yards Per Play Value | R | 1st Down % Value | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 27.34 | 17 | -4.12 | 26 | 0.19 | 16 | 83.44 | 5 | -13.1 | 21 | -2.87 | 25 | 72.63 | 15 | 8.65 | 9 |
| Atlanta Falcons | -32.98 | 20 | -1.15 | 17 | -5.59 | 24 | -40.72 | 23 | 4.11 | 13 | -5.13 | 30 | 116.55 | 11 | -4.74 | 21 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 530.14 | 2 | 2.13 | 13 | 0.39 | 13 | -30.79 | 20 | 28.68 | 5 | 5.39 | 2 | 255.7 | 5 | 19.05 | 2 |
| Buffalo Bills | 252.27 | 9 | -6.72 | 28 | 5.47 | 6 | 63.55 | 12 | 30.58 | 4 | 5.66 | 1 | -13.48 | 18 | -6.68 | 23 |
| Carolina Panthers | 48.22 | 15 | 8.61 | 2 | 4.1 | 8 | 72.03 | 10 | 15.38 | 10 | -3.02 | 27 | 197.07 | 7 | 13.73 | 6 |
| Chicago Bears | 71.95 | 13 | 4.25 | 7 | -10.77 | 31 | 36.23 | 14 | 2.34 | 14 | 0.05 | 18 | 152.18 | 10 | 4.82 | 11 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 202.96 | 10 | 3.25 | 11 | -7.31 | 28 | 64.85 | 11 | 26.43 | 7 | -5.65 | 31 | 344.66 | 2 | 10.6 | 8 |
| Cleveland Browns | -270.15 | 25 | -2.03 | 19 | 21.15 | 1 | 266.12 | 1 | -25.89 | 29 | -2.13 | 22 | 182.55 | 8 | 0.26 | 19 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 42.32 | 16 | 5.95 | 5 | -2.68 | 20 | -64.39 | 25 | -2.93 | 16 | -0.06 | 19 | 77.66 | 14 | -11.65 | 26 |
| Denver Broncos | -23.23 | 19 | 1.43 | 15 | 15.25 | 2 | 123.71 | 2 | -34.02 | 30 | -3.36 | 28 | 259.18 | 4 | 17.57 | 3 |
| Detroit Lions | -3.97 | 18 | -3.59 | 21 | -7.25 | 26 | 79.29 | 6 | -16.13 | 22 | 5.27 | 3 | -138.78 | 25 | -2.24 | 20 |
| Green Bay Packers | -224.18 | 22 | -3.67 | 22 | 2.43 | 9 | 32.59 | 15 | -12.81 | 20 | 2.74 | 9 | -136.67 | 24 | -13.9 | 29 |
| Houston Texans | -246.15 | 24 | 1.9 | 14 | 4.84 | 7 | 74.87 | 7 | -40.21 | 31 | 1.4 | 10 | -149.56 | 26 | 3.93 | 12 |
| Indianapolis Colts | -448.54 | 28 | -3.97 | 25 | -4.49 | 23 | -24.1 | 18 | -58.24 | 32 | 0.25 | 16 | -459.52 | 31 | -12.12 | 28 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 849.98 | 1 | 16.11 | 1 | -1.55 | 19 | -168.29 | 30 | 53.91 | 1 | 5.2 | 4 | 361.11 | 1 | 20.68 | 1 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -237.46 | 23 | -3.43 | 20 | -8.51 | 30 | -179.1 | 31 | -3.81 | 18 | 0.1 | 17 | -393.44 | 30 | -32.98 | 32 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 140.98 | 11 | 7.18 | 3 | -0.66 | 18 | -136.83 | 29 | 28.62 | 6 | -2.41 | 24 | 63.41 | 16 | 2.24 | 15 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 343.99 | 5 | 5.11 | 6 | 0.21 | 15 | -113.93 | 27 | 18.68 | 9 | 4.03 | 5 | 37.48 | 17 | 14.12 | 5 |
| Miami Dolphins | -283.26 | 26 | -1.38 | 18 | 12.06 | 4 | 74.66 | 9 | -16.41 | 24 | -2.27 | 23 | -39.01 | 21 | -6.66 | 22 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 350.13 | 4 | 4.13 | 8 | -7.29 | 27 | 110.82 | 3 | 35.22 | 2 | -0.75 | 20 | 343.51 | 3 | 8.07 | 10 |
| New England Patriots | -526.75 | 30 | 3.92 | 9 | 1.06 | 12 | -193.97 | 32 | -3.58 | 17 | -2.08 | 21 | -656.04 | 32 | -28.35 | 31 |
| New Orleans Saints | 276.02 | 8 | -4.66 | 27 | -14.51 | 32 | -130.71 | 28 | 14.52 | 11 | 1.29 | 11 | -23.08 | 19 | 3.46 | 14 |
| New York Giants | -537.89 | 31 | -6.74 | 29 | 1.52 | 11 | -30.41 | 19 | -19.1 | 25 | -4.87 | 29 | -258.37 | 27 | 0.65 | 17 |
| New York Jets | -76.55 | 21 | -3.9 | 23 | 7.84 | 5 | -35.42 | 22 | -1.08 | 15 | 2.99 | 7 | -51.96 | 22 | -7.45 | 24 |
| Oakland Raiders | -671.89 | 32 | -6.8 | 30 | -4.12 | 22 | -7.58 | 17 | -20.56 | 28 | -6.22 | 32 | -294.63 | 28 | 0.54 | 18 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 302.01 | 6 | -0.44 | 16 | 14.18 | 3 | 74.67 | 8 | 13.06 | 12 | 3.87 | 6 | 91.18 | 12 | 12.32 | 7 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 485.98 | 3 | 7.18 | 4 | -0.51 | 17 | -87.13 | 26 | 34.36 | 3 | 0.55 | 13 | 233.37 | 6 | 16.79 | 4 |
| San Francisco 49ers | -329.69 | 27 | 3.33 | 10 | -3.55 | 21 | 51.4 | 13 | -19.21 | 26 | -2.88 | 26 | -66.11 | 23 | -14.23 | 30 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 278.1 | 7 | -3.92 | 24 | 0.28 | 14 | -52.4 | 24 | 25.38 | 8 | 2.98 | 8 | 84.07 | 13 | 3.73 | 13 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -497.01 | 29 | -11.02 | 32 | 1.56 | 10 | 19.28 | 16 | -16.34 | 23 | 0.52 | 14 | -336.71 | 29 | -11.85 | 27 |
| Tennessee Titans | 137.28 | 12 | -9.72 | 31 | -5.81 | 25 | 101.28 | 4 | -8.22 | 19 | 0.33 | 15 | 175.96 | 9 | -9.1 | 25 |
| Washington Redskins | 70.03 | 14 | 2.79 | 12 | -7.77 | 29 | -33.03 | 21 | -19.62 | 27 | 0.98 | 12 | -30.93 | 20 | 0.73 | 16 |
